I(265) have just won an easy match against Ryod77(131), but my new rating fall to 264 ?!? Can somebody explain me ?
I(265) have just won an easy match against Ryod77(131), but my new rating fall to 264 ?!? Can somebody explain me ?
"Rastas don't believe in violence... Rastas don't believe... Rastas know." -Bob Marley-
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♔ Winner of the Multi-Post Streak Challenge ♔
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Part of the No More Nerfs no idea how to do TM's...group.
In-game name is Zack284.
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Check out this great thread by shannong on why the ratings system sometimes acts strangely.
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This great thread give me a headache everytime i try to read it... Ok i understand, but for my 10th victory in a row, saying that it's the system don't bring me any compensation... There's definitly something wrong in that system. Next time i'll play against a newbie i'll make him suffer ! That will be my compensation ! Lol
"Rastas don't believe in violence... Rastas don't believe... Rastas know." -Bob Marley-
✡
♔ Winner of the Multi-Post Streak Challenge ♔
✩✯✭✮*’”⁷ᵔᵕᵔ∞*°゜゚⁰ᵒ☉●•⋆.ᵢᵢᵢ₇.。・°'¨⋋ⓚⓔⓝⓣⓤⓔⓠⓤⓘ⋌¨'°・。.ᵢ₇₇₇.⋆•●☉ᵒ⁰゜゚°*∞ᵔᵕᵔ⁷‘“*✮✭✯✩
⊰☠ ℑcℯ ℰℒℱ ☠⊱
The general notion of the TrueSkill algorithm is that for each game you win, your estimated strength increases and the uncertainty in that strength decreases. Some TrueSkill implementations have a constant "tau" which is used to keep things a bit more dynamic (so it does not become so convinced it knows your score you have trouble going up or down). If Kyle has included this factor, then something like this could happen:
your data before the match
mu = 294.5001
sigma = 10
rating = 264.5001 (mu - 3*sigma)
displayed rating = 265 (just rounded)
your data after the match:
mu = 294.559 (this increased as expected)
sigma = 10.024 (this INCREASED a bit due to tau and the weakness of your opponent)
rating = 264.49 (mu - 3*sigma)
displayed rating = 264 (rounded off and now one less than before)
If your next game is a stronger opponent and you win, you will probably see the rating point return.
"Rastas don't believe in violence... Rastas don't believe... Rastas know." -Bob Marley-
✡
♔ Winner of the Multi-Post Streak Challenge ♔
✩✯✭✮*’”⁷ᵔᵕᵔ∞*°゜゚⁰ᵒ☉●•⋆.ᵢᵢᵢ₇.。・°'¨⋋ⓚⓔⓝⓣⓤⓔⓠⓤⓘ⋌¨'°・。.ᵢ₇₇₇.⋆•●☉ᵒ⁰゜゚°*∞ᵔᵕᵔ⁷‘“*✮✭✯✩
⊰☠ ℑcℯ ℰℒℱ ☠⊱
Part of the No More Nerfs no idea how to do TM's...group.
In-game name is Zack284.
A1! A1! Advanced....1!
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